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標題: 黃金看跌.大家來討論一下進場時機吧 [打印本頁]

作者: 楓之翔 時間: 2013-5-26 05:49 PM 標題: 黃金看跌.大家來討論一下進場時機吧

我個人是一個很喜歡投資議題的"投機客"

大家都知道最近股市當道.像是債券.原物料.期貨等資金都往股市跑.
在這樣的背景下黃金市場的資金也不例外.也使金價一路下跌.很多人
認為這是黃金的危機.甚至有人說黃金已經不再保值了.

我個人認為這是一個機會.黃金在金融市場上一直是危機的避風港.或
許現在價格喋喋不休.只要耐心長抱.未來要回到1700~1800以上的高價
是可以百分百確定的.在此想問各位大大...

這次黃金的低點可能是多少?

黃金價格以一盎司台幣價格計價

2012/1/4 1795 上一個高價
2013/5/26 1386 目前的價格

作者: sailor000 時間: 2013-5-26 09:43 PM

應該離低點還有半年吧....
因為常常新聞每次報完都還要等半年以上才看到高低點>"<

作者: 43420024a 時間: 2013-5-26 10:17 PM

恩,我覺得不會低破1200,
所以覺得1200~1300就是最好的買點,不過如果跌破1350
我覺得就可以進場接貨了,我個人不會直接下大注,所以一點
一點的買進比較符合我的風格

作者: Q1122113322 時間: 2013-5-26 11:05 PM

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作者: fanliel-fust 時間: 2013-5-27 12:54 AM

基本上1300應該有支撐作用,若真下跌到1200~1100之間都算是不錯的買點!
PS:投資請自行控管風險,本人不負任何責任!

作者: foxlon 時間: 2013-5-27 01:48 AM

等股市崩盤時在搶進也不遲

作者: xz055699 時間: 2013-5-27 02:44 AM

買在七點鐘方向最好。。。。。

作者: limfly 時間: 2013-5-27 03:32 AM

本帖最後由 limfly 於 2013-5-27 03:44 AM 編輯

[attach]90862824[/attach][attach]90862823[/attach]以前ＡＵＤ大跌（２００８）時。。。０。９８－－－＞０。７５有些人覺得在這個地方低點，　但最後落在０。５０！！
想一想。道理一樣！
[attach]90862830[/attach]

作者: joseph0220 時間: 2013-5-27 10:37 AM

1200左右吧不過不知道到時有沒有大媽攪局??

作者: h1987508 時間: 2013-5-27 12:27 PM

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作者: ahava168 時間: 2013-5-27 11:09 PM

空頭行情, 要接除非口袋非常非常深~~

作者: netware 時間: 2013-5-29 09:58 PM

之前看電視討論,說目前的本錢約1200(成本),所以不可能跌破1200,我也想說如果有跌到1300以下我就買,只是我是想買來戴在脖子上的...投資的話就還沒想過!

作者: s242424 時間: 2013-5-29 10:03 PM

1200吧各國央行都在努力拯救黃金市場因該不會跌破1200

作者: limfly 時間: 2013-6-6 03:19 AM

最近股市大跌, 大家又可以回來思考這篇文章的真實性了..
風水輸流轉。

作者: 020406558 時間: 2013-6-6 09:19 AM

聽說開採成本是1200 所以1200~1300都是很棒的買點

作者: 020406558 時間: 2013-6-6 09:19 AM

聽說開採成本是1200，所以1200~1300都是很棒的買點。

作者: tony026552 時間: 2013-6-6 10:31 AM

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作者: shodomans2009 時間: 2013-6-6 11:51 AM

音該要先看看

黃金的開採成本在哪

目前據說

是1000-1100元

作者: shodomans2009 時間: 2013-6-6 11:58 AM

Q1122113322 發表於 2013-5-26 11:05 PM
黃金這種東西沒什麼好猜的目前正在主跌段傻子都知道現在不能買

大大

娜一大堆的傻子避險基金在搶?

這怎麼說

作者: shodomans2009 時間: 2013-6-6 11:59 AM

43420024a 發表於 2013-5-26 10:17 PM
恩,我覺得不會低破1200,
所以覺得1200~1300就是最好的買點,不過如果跌破1350
我覺得就可以進場接貨了,我個 ...

大大

妳要黃金存摺

還是

實體黃金

作者: shodomans2009 時間: 2013-6-6 12:06 PM

fanliel-fust 發表於 2013-5-27 12:54 AM
基本上1300應該有支撐作用,若真下跌到1200~1100之間都算是不錯的買點!
PS:投資請自行控管風險,本人不負任何 ...

據說會跌到1000

但可能要一短時間

作者: 楓之翔 時間: 2013-6-7 09:58 AM

shodomans2009 發表於 2013-6-6 11:51 AM
音該要先看看

黃金的開採成本在哪

原來黃金開採成本不是很高.
但我覺得這是一個指標吧.
假如開採成本在1000美元.
那黃金跌破1000美元後頂多是停止開採.
還是可能繼續下跌.
話是這麼說.但我覺得低點是1200拉.
我覺得大大提供的意見很寶貴!

作者: limfly 時間: 2013-6-7 05:59 PM

Why Gold’s Historic Collapse Is NOT OverApril 28th, 2013 Goto comments Leave a comment

[size=125x125]

Larry Edelson:Millions of investors have been skinned alive in the gold market. They got married to their positions and failed to realize that gold is like any other market. What goes up, must also pullback.
Even some of the savviest investors in the world got killed in gold. Billionaire investor John Paulson lost as much as $600 million in last week’s gold rout and nearly $1.5 billion since gold peaked in 2011.
Another huge investor, David Einhorn also lost big. Ron Paul has lost big. So has billionaire hedge fund manager Kyle Bass. And more.

Even the central banks have been pounded by gold, losing an estimated $560 billion in last week’s gold rout.
That’s just the big investors. It doesn’t count the tens of billions of dollars lost by average investors all over the world.
Fortunately, those following my analysis are not among them. I have been consistently bearish gold for well over a year now, and anyone following my work either avoided huge losses …
Or even better, acted on the more specific advice I’ve given in my paid publications, went short via futures or inverse ETFs on gold, and cleaned up big time.

The Level of Disbelief in Gold’s Correction
Means More Losses Lay Ahead

When investors in any market are in denial about what’s happening, it’s virtually a sure fire sign that the current trend is going to continue.

Millions of investors refused to believe gold could fall so far … so fast.

Why? Because they’ve suspended all semblance of logic and they’ve become so irrational that they can’t see the forest for the trees.
For instance, in gold right now you have three types of investors …
1.  Those who believe gold was “ambushed” by big investors who wanted to trash the market and inflict losses on small investors.
But if that were true, then why did all the big investors I mention above lose so much money? Surely, they would have gotten wind of the ambush and been able to avoid a big portion of the actual losses they took, wouldn’t they?
Then there are …
2.  The gold investors who believe the gold market is “manipulated” by a combination of big investors, politicians, and central banks set on pushing the price of gold down to “keep a lid on inflation,” or at least the perception that inflation is out of hand.
But if that were true, then again, why did so many big investors take such big losses? And why did central banks lose as much as $560 billion?
Central bankers are not the smartest traders in the world, but they’re certainly not dumb and stupid.
3.  And then, there are the gold investors who refuse to believe that there are deflationary forces at work, and they claim that gold has lost touch with reality, and that the current decline in gold therefore represents the buying opportunity of a lifetime.
Again, that’s denial, plain and simple. It’s touted by analysts and investors who refuse to believe that a market can — and must — go down, even if it’s just setting the stage for the next bull leg higher.
Look, markets never go straight up year after year as if there’s nothing but blue skies ahead.
The fact of the matter is that the biggest, strongest bull markets are those that correct violently, shake out all the weak and even strong long positions and buyers …
And clear the air for new buyers to come back into the market.
So if you’re a real student of the markets and a real gold bug, then this violent correction that has occurred in the gold market should have been expected, and further, should be music to your ears!
For in the end it is about the best thing that could have happened in the gold market.
It will allow the gold market to refresh itself, to reenergize, and to set the stage for a massive new leg to the upside.
Right now, you should expect a bounce in gold. But as I said in my special Money and Markets column of April 15 …

Gold’s Historic Collapse Is NOT Over

Keep your eyes on the $1,412 and $1,458 levels. One of those two levels should cap any bounce in the gold market.

On the downside, I repeat the key support levels you should be watching:

$1,298.70
$1,244.90
$1,160.90
$1,028.40
$ 993.90
Each of the above levels should temporarily hold once they are hit. But based on my system models, I repeat my warning of my April 15 special column: Gold will likely not bottom until it hits major long-term support at $1,028.
If you’ve acted on any of my suggestions to purchase inverse ETFs such as the ProShares UltraShort Gold (NYSEARCA:GLL) and the Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3x Shares (NYSEARCA

UST) … or even the ProShares UltraShort Silver (NYSEARCA:ZSL) for a play on silver’s downside …
Hold those positions!
And most important of all, do not be tempted to buy any gold, or silver, or mining shares, until I give you the all-clear!
Instead, let those who are in denial about gold’s correction continue to get their head handed to them.
When they finally realize that all their theories about gold market manipulation and ambushing, central bank shenanigans to depress the gold price, and more of such conspiracies …
Are nothing but gobbledygook, then gold will finally bottom!

作者: 血海飄香 時間: 2013-6-7 07:53 PM

等到1千再買幾條回家放
無聊時拿出來看看也爽

作者: warkinginmars 時間: 2013-6-7 08:11 PM

黃金循環周期
漲12年盤跌20年
下一波...買進當退休準備金剛好

作者: anonymous1 時間: 2013-6-7 11:00 PM

目前情況還沒明朗吧？
採取觀望態度

作者: roberthsu2050 時間: 2013-6-9 12:23 AM

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作者: n124018060 時間: 2013-6-10 08:28 AM

放個20年肯定會漲上去的啊，只是你有那個閒錢嗎?

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